Monday, November 29, 2021

A future covered in glowing rectangles.

(image copyright Marta "Carabea" Niemczynska Environment / Prop Artist @ Ubisoft Berlin)

Ive looked into the ridiculously highly priced contact lens screen. But judging by how google glass performed after its release, it’s not exactly a likely future. There was an extensively researched, presentation by a collective of media firms, known as Deloitte. I found it very valuable to look into a source that wasn’t strictly scientific, but quite relevant, due to its business interests. In other words, if you want to inquire where the money is going, ask a collective of businesses. Regardless, they accumulated their own supporting research as well.

The predictions were split into “critical trends” and non critical. Critical trends are the business arcs that are so consistent its safe bet on them for the near-financial future. The study does its best to predict what screens will look like in 10 years.

The critical trends that also align with scientific research are increases in screen time, network infrastructure, voice control, and cloud service computing. The future will really arrive when there are no longer places to go, where there isn’t a signal. Ten years may not be enough, but it’s interesting to imagine a world where you can check the NYSE in the middle of the mohave desert.

The more fantastic and illusive predictions are the format and functionality of the screens. There are four likely scenarios, though fundamentally they are still guesses, one of them will likely present itself.

To summarize, the possible scenarios are, Ubiquitous interfaces in everything, single high end, personalized device (contacts?), the escape from reality “giant tv and VR set” scenario, and interestingly the “irrelevant ubiquitous screen” scenario. This is where there are so many screens, especially in public, that they lose their personal, relevant, interesting quality. They are often ignored and taken for granted. The price of screens has plummeted making them as costly as books.

These are financial investment outlooks. Looking at this objectively and realistically leads me to the conclusion that businessmen don’t consider what poor people are doing. Which will affect what the future is going too look like. This is why I don’t think all screens migrating into our contacts, or into a giant indoor media center are likely. I can’t say if the screens will become worthless or valuable. I do think its foolish to think they won’t be everywhere, and that indigent people all over the world will not be willing to spend 30 dollars for the cheapest screen available. https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/global/Documents/Technology-Media-Telecommunications/gx-tmt-future-of-screens.pdf

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